Unmitigated climate change will make the United States poorer and more unequal, predict researchers.
States in the South and lower Midwest, which tend to be poor and hot already, will lose the most, with economic opportunity traveling northward and westward.
Colder and richer counties along the northern border and in the Rockies could benefit the most as health, agriculture, and energy costs are projected to improve.
The team of economists and climate scientists computed real-world costs and benefits: how agriculture, crime, health, energy demand, labor, and coastal communities will be affected by higher temperatures, changing rainfall, rising seas, and intensifying hurricanes.
Here in the Midwest, we may see agricultural losses similar to the Dust Bowl of the 1930s.” Published in Science, the study is the first of its kind to price warming using data and evidence accumulated over decades.